It's that time of the year! We all have mixed feelings about it. The end of the fantasy regular season only weeks away. Resultantly, that always means the sweet taste of playoffs or the morbid toxicity of defeat. It's the end of the quest and riches/glory are on the line. Will you be boasting to your friends for the next 9 months or be mocked and ridiculed. The playoffs are beginning, or are extremely close, and the time of reinforcing your team has pretty much gone bye. However, there are still a few players out there worth a waiver wire who could boost your roster in the playoffs. The pattern of injury has yet to cease, and we can all only assume it will continue, make the safe play and grab some padding for the fall. This is the last push people; the rebels against the empire, the fellowship against Sauron, John McClane against Hans Gruber...you get the picture. It is you against the rest of your league and everything is on the line. Glory is on the horizon....
We will skip the lengthy intro this week and jump into a little bit more of the meat. Good luck to you all and may the odds be ever in your favor!
Round Table: Topics of interest
⦁ In need of a Stampede: The Bills have slowed down..or stopped.
⦁ QB - Let’s just be straight up here and admit that the front office is not the biggest fan of Tyrod Taylor and would prefer him riding the pine or wearing a different jersey. Sadly, for them the first chance they got to make a change was a huge dumpster fire that left them plugging Tyrod back in to actually put some numbers on the scoreboard. Tyrod has an amazing schedule going forward
⦁ WR Targets - Kelvin has ACL damage and will miss time. Moving forward that leaves some targets ( not many with Tyrod ) to go around. Zay Jones has seen a lot of targets the last few games despite Thompson producing a little more. Going forward Zay Jones and Charles Clay should be the main focus of their offense.
⦁ Houston Health: Practice Squad
⦁ Savag-Ington - It is clear. Tom Savage and Bruce Ellington have a connection after all that work in practice together and if Will Fuller’s injury lingers Bruce could start to look like Batman ( like the 3rd best super-hero on the justice league ). Last week he played 97% of snaps. He has racked up a nice 15 targets in two games and only 1 catch less than Hopkins.
⦁ The Curse - Well just as it looked like Foreman was finally getting a chance to rack up some points and show off….the Houston curse took its toll. With Foreman out for the season Lamar Miller will be an independent work horse again with Alfred Blue mixed in from time to time. Hopefully Tom Savage can keep the passing game up to some tempo to take pressure off Miller.
⦁ BUC-les-S: We need some angry pirates in Tampa
⦁ QB - Jameis is clearly having a down year and the injury played a big part, thus the benching/rest. Now we get to watch Ryan Fitz”magic” dazzle us all with slippery pocket presence, risky passes and either 3 TDs a game or 3 INTs. Hopefully the entire team picks up the energy and makes life for both QBs a little easier.
⦁ Hotseat - recent news is that Coach K. is possibly on the outs if he doesn’t get things turned around. Honestly, in today’s NFL while I think it is premature, it may be needed with such a talented roster with such a depressing year. If we don’t see some extra pep in the teams step the next two weeks I would be extremely surprised and I expect Coach Koetter is back next season.
⦁ Run-Game or Lack there of - Doug Martin is getting the chances and touches to try and pull some numbers together, but lately with the QB troubles and horrid offensive line play it has been impossible. I think I have finally given up on Doug Martin despite the fact that I know he has athletic ability. He has fallen into my category of “Yee of little faith”.
⦁ Mile-High Pity: Just have to feel bad
⦁ RB Sticky-Icky - Well the run game is not there in Denver and it doesn’t help that the team keeps changing QBs and seem to have little faith in any. Despite the targets still getting thrown around and WRs staying relevant, the RBs have fallen off. We now see a combo off Anderson/Booker with Jamaal Charles just thrown in for fan nostigle at this point. Truly it is up in the air now with the change in Coaching this week. They could go straight back to CJ getting 15 carries and hope to get back to some glory or they could completely flip it giving the reigns to Booker who has looked pretty reliable lately.
⦁ Dude, Where’s my Defense? - For years fantasy players have relied on one thing weekly when it comes to defenses, Denver. They were great stopping the run, the dump-offs and the long balls. Allowing 20+ points since week 7. Don’t count on Denver D anymore.
⦁ Mythology Monster: Patriot’s confusing but lasting way to win
⦁ Three-Headed Dragon; Dion, Burk, JWhite - We can be honest and say that Gillislee is an afterthought at this point and just an injury pre-caution guy. Dion Lewis has started to get most of the important rushing work and the “THD” seem to split the passing receptions from the backfield. Right now it is truly a weekly dice roll and that is exactly what Billy B wants. Expect it to continue but Dion to be the most consistent.
⦁ Billy B baby - The Patriots defense is back to at least performing at an acceptable level and even a weekly play in larger leagues. Just like most year it takes the Patriots some time to get every part of their team into sync with the scheme Bill wants to run on both sides of the ball. With a few moves and tweaks the defense has begun to shut down opposing offenses striking their strengths. Weekly streamer for sure.
Put Me In Coach: Waiver wire adds
Samaje Perine, WAS RB - Kirk Cousins led offenses move the ball and Samaje is the only guy left in the backfield with any significant work this year. He certainly performed well this weekend and should become more involved in the passing game going forward. All this being said, let's keep expectations within reason as prior to last game the guy had 66 carries for 210 yards (3.18 y/c), 6 rec for 64 yards and 2 total TDS. Perine should rank as a low end RB2 with high end RB2 upside.
Ricky seals-jones , ARI TE - A character who you should certainly start paying attention to. This converted WR and TAMU product has all the physical tools to be successful in the NFL. He’s a 6’5” ex basketball player, runs a sub 4.7 40 yd-dash, with great leaping ability and showed flashes in the SEC. Were not hitching up the RSJ hype trailer just yet, but in a season that is pretty much lost for the Cards we could see more of this young talent.
Corey Coleman , CLE WR - Against an incredible Jacksonville Def Coleman was targeted 11 times and hauled in 6 rec for 80 yards. Some are skeptical of his qb play, as well as Josh Gordon’s return. Bottom line, when Coleman has been healthy this year he has produced and is the Browns #1 WR option (at least for now). He has 24 targets in his 3 games played and has ~20% target share. Should be an WR3/ flex going forward
Austin Ekeler, LAC RB - During the first 6 weeks Ekeler averaged 5.3 % snap count. Over his last 4 games his usage has been 18,17, 23, and then a season high 32%. These are the trends you want to see when looking for a potential breakout waiver wire pickup. He has 3 touchdowns the last 2 weeks on 23 touches and 177 yards (7.7 Y/T). That type of production is nearly impossible to sustain, nevertheless Ekeler is continuing to prove himself and should be on your bench at the least.
Devonte Booker, DEN RB - 19 touches in Week 11 compared to 9,8,9 touches the previous 3. His useage also jumped to 48% this week after 3 weeks of 25,22, and 23%. If you watched the game it is certainly arguable he is the best rb for their backfield. He was also much more involved in the passing game. Keep in mind he’s still a flex play, but he seems to be the RB to start in the Denver backfield. His outlook is also heavily dependent on the new coaching regime.
Zay Jones, BUF WR - Jones is the product of circumstance. During his last two games he’s seen 7 targets in each and had his most productive performances to date. He has a favorable matchup this week and could have some success with his high usage and volume. He is still (for now) a risky flex play that provides about a 3 catch 40 yard floor with limited upside.
Dede Westbrook, JAX WR - There are some things to like about this rookie. To start Lee and Hurns should draw most of the coverage away. In addition Fournette has been struggling with injury which could lead to the jags looking for new playmakers. He received a surprising 6 targets this past weekend, while he only converted with 3 catches were interested to see what could pan out. If you have room for a flier he could be worth a stash.
B. Ellington, HOU WR - In the last 3 games Bruce has gotten 23 targets, and finally started converting on his opportunities the last couple weeks. He and Savage were 6/7 on their attempts this past game. We’re not fans of his upcoming schedule, but he could be worth a reach for flex play, and should warrant very strong consideration for a bench spot.
Week 12 Tiered Rankings
QB: Brady, Wilson, Cousins, brees, Wentz, Rivers, Smith, Roethlisberger
RB: Bell, McCoy, Gurley, Ingram, Hunt, Karama, Gordon, McCaffrey, Miller, Howard
WR: Brown, Jones, thomas, Baldwin, Green, Theilen, Landry, Allen, Evans, Cooks, Hill
TE: Kelce, Gronk, Ertz, Graham, Engram, Walker, Davis, Cook, Clay
QB: Mariota , Newton, Ryan, Manning, Stafford, Prescott,Dalton
RB: Hyde, Mckinnon, Darkwa*, Freeman*, Murray, Lynch, Murray, L.Fournette*, Perine, Lewis, Coleman, Ajayi, J. Williams, Duke Johnson *
WR: Hopkins, Tate, Shepard*, D.Thomas, E. Sanders, Bryant, Crabtree, Cooper, Jeffery, Diggs, Matthews , Crowder, Stills, Funchess, Anderson, Smith-Schuster
TE: Kroft, Doyle, Olsen*, Hooper, Rudolph, Witten, Thomas, Henry, ASJ, Watson, Reed*
QB: Carr, Bortles, Goff, Moore, Fitzpatrick , Brissett, Keenum McCown, Trubisky
RB: Morris, Smith, Mixon, Gore, Woodhead, Collins, Crowell, Burkhead, White, Riddick, Williams, Martin, Peterson , Forte*, Gore
WR: Hogan*, Davis, Sanu, Doctson, Jones Jr., Adams, Fitzgerald, Maclin, Jackson, Watkins, Lee , Parker , Kupp, Coleman, Ginn Jr., LaFell, Goodwin, Richardson , Westbrook
TE: Brate, Ebron, Njoku, Fiedorowicz, Gates, Lewis, Howard, Bennett, Allen, Fleener
Good Vibes: Like what we see
DaVante Adams, GB WR -
Week 10 - 5 rec, 90 yards, 8 targets
Week 11 - 8 rec, 126 yards, 10 targets
Corey Coleman, CLE WR -
Week 10 - IR
Week 11 - 6 rec, 80 yards, 11 targets
Delanie Walker, TEN TE -
Week 10 - 6 rec, 63 yards, 9 targets
Week 11 -6 rec, 92 yards, 9 targets
Demaryius Thomas, DEN WR -
Week 10 - 5 rec, 44 yards, 1 TD, 8 targets
Week 11 - 5 rec, 64 yards, 1 TD, 9 targets
Kenny Stills, MIA WR - (with Matt Moore, QB )
Week 7 - 6 rec, 85 yards, 2 TD, 9 targets
Week 11 - 7 rec, 180 yards, 1 TD, 8 targets
Jamison Crowder, WAS WR -
Week 10 - 4 rec, 76 yards, 11 targets
Week 11 - 7 rec, 72 yards, 8 targets
Orleans Darkwa, NYG RB -
Week 9 - 16 rush, 71 yards, 2 rec. 8 yards
Week 10 - 14 rush, 70 yards, 2 rec, 18 yards
Week 11 - 20 rush, 74 yards, 1 TD, 2 rec, 16 yards, 4 targets
Latavius Murray, MIN RB -
Week 10 - 17 rush, 68 yards, 1 TD
Week 11 - 15 rush, 95 yards, 2 TD
Dion Lewis, NE RB -
Week 10 - 14 rush, 55 yards, 1 TD
Week 11 - 10 rush, 60 yards, 4 rec, 28 yards, 1 TD, 4 targets
Making Me Nervous: Patterns that scare me
Derek Carr, OAK WR -
Week 9 - 21/30, 300 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
Week 11 - 28/49, 237 yards, 1 TD 1 INT
James White, NE RB -
Week 10 - 2 rush, 7 yards, 3 rec, 11 yards , 1 TD
Week 11 - 5 rush, 13 yards, 0 rec, 1 target
CJ Anderson, DEN RB -
Week 9 - 9 rush, 13 yards
Week 10 - 10 rush, 54 yards,
Week 11 -13 rush, 37 yards, 1 TD, 2 rec 19 yards, 1 Fumble
Kenyan Drake, MIA RB -
Week 10 - 7 rush, 82 yards,1 TD, 2 rec, 10 yards
Week 11 - 7 rush, 4 yards, 1 rec, 10 yards
Doug Martin, TB RB -
Week 10 - 20 rush, 51 yards
Week 11 - 19 rush, 38 yards, 2 rec, 6 yards
Adrian Peterson, ARI RB -
Week 10 - 21 rush, 29 yards, 1 rec, 13 yards
Week 11 - 14 rush, 26 yards, 1 rec, 13 yards
Cameron Brate, TB TE -
Week 10 - 1 rec, 10 yards, 3 targets
Week 11 - 1 rec, 12 yards, 3 targets
Sammy Watkins, LAR WR -
Week 10 - 2 rec, 41 yards, 1 TD, 3 targets
Week 11 - 3 rec, 36 yards, 4 targets
Michael Crabtree, OAK WR -
Week 8 - 5 rec, 83 yards, 10 targets
Week 9 - 3 rec, 40 yards, 4 targets
Week 11 - 6 rec, 51 yards, 11 targets
Streaming D-emon: Weeks 12-16
JAX - Ari, Ind, Sea, Hou, SF
BAL - Hou, Det, Pit, Cle,Ind
CHI - Phi, SF, Cin, Det, Cle
WAS - NyG, Dal, Lac, Ari, Den
LAR - No, Ario, Phi, Sea, Ten
DET - Min, Bal, TB, Chi, Cin
LAC - Dal, Cle, Was, KC, NyJ
PIT -GB, Cin, Bal, NE, Hou
NE - Mia, Buf, Mia, Pit, Buf
Hopefully you enjoyed this weeks article and you check out next weeks! Make sure to comment, message and get at us with any questions or feedback. We appreciate it all and love chatting football with any and everyone. Good luck this week!
-Mike & Devin